Aston Villa x Brighton Betting tips for February 11 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Brighton, Wednesday, 11/2/2026

📅 11/2/2026 19:30

Aston Villa 1.90

X 3.64

Brighton 3.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Aston Villa x Brighton:

🔮 Aston Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Aston Villa, you can win up to $950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Aston Villa x Brighton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $35.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brighton, Aston Villa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Brighton, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Brighton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Brighton.
👉 Aston Villa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

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Analysis from Aston Villa x Brighton for the England Premier League – 11 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Aston Villa x Brighton

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Aston Villa x Brighton.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brighton

When the best bet on Aston Villa x Brighton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1476248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $554.40;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$235.60.

Should you bet on Brighton?

🔴 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Brighton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Aston Villa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Aston Villa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Aston Villa x Brighton