Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC Betting tips for February 9 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC, Monday, 9/2/2026

📅 9/2/2026 13:00

Nairobi United 2.26

X 2.90

Mara Sugar FC 3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

The main points for the tip for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nairobi United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mara Sugar FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Nairobi United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mara Sugar FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Nairobi United as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC for the Kenya Premier League – 9 of February

How the handicap and odds moved for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1476291 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on Nairobi United?

🔵 Nairobi United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $554.40
• And would lose other 560 times – losing -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$5.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $532.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Is betting on Mara Sugar FC worth it?

🔴 Mara Sugar FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $602.00
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nairobi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nairobi United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Nairobi United.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Nairobi United x Mara Sugar FC