SK Brann x Bologna Betting tips for February 19 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for SK Brann x Bologna, Thursday, 19/2/2026

📅 19/2/2026 17:45

SK Brann 3.95

X 3.55

Bologna 1.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SK Brann x Bologna:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SK Brann x Bologna

Important information for your tip for SK Brann x Bologna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Brann in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-372.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $103.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Bologna matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 SK Brann did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, SK Brann conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for SK Brann vs Bologna:

Lets analyze the match between SK Brann and Bologna in the UEFA Europa League, which will take place at Brann Stadion, home of SK Brann.

📈 Positioning analysis: SK Brann is in 13th place in Norways Eliteserien, facing a tough phase with few recent positive results. Bologna, on the other hand, comes from an important victory after a negative streak in Serie A, showing recovery and focus to strengthen their attack. This indicates Bologna arrives with higher morale for this confrontation.

Statistics and probabilities: SK Brann has an average of about 1.6 goals scored at home (8 goals in 5 games) but concedes many goals (2 per game). They have a decent attack but a vulnerable defense. Bologna performs better away from home with an average of 2.2 goals scored in recent away games and only 1 goal conceded per match, along with higher offensive volume (more shots and possession). The median odds indicate a clear favorite: Bologna to win at 1.86 versus 3.9 for the home team.

The normalization of the implicit probabilities from median odds yields approximately: Home win ~23%, draw ~27%, away win ~50%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and recent news, my adjusted estimate would be close to this or slightly more favorable to the visitor due to their better form.

Fair odds analysis: Despite the high odds for SK Brann (4.75 final), their defensive fragility weighs against them holding the game at home against a more solid Italian team offensively like Bologna. A draw also seems likely given the frequent draws in recent matches of both teams.

Expected value: The Bets Kenya model suggests positive value only on the home team bet with EV +5%, while bets on draw or away have significant negative EV (-17% and -3%). I partially agree as I see moderate value in a cautious draw bet, considering recent trends of both teams drawing many important European matches.

Suggested bet: My recommendation is to consider a moderate bet on Bologna, which is in better technical/tactical form and has a recent strong away record; however, I do not dismiss a draw result due to the expected competitiveness in this European knockout stage — thus betting only on the home team seems too risky despite the positive EV calculated by the model because of their defensive fragility.

Influential news:

• SK Brann faces a tough streak in the national league before this European game;
• Bologna is motivated after breaking a bad streak with an important victory;
• Bologna will have key absences but maintains a strong focus on attack;
• The scenario shows tactical balance but a slight technical advantage to the Italian team.

Overall, I believe current odds fairly reflect the relative strengths of the teams; however, there is room to explore combined bets involving a draw or double chance for the visitor to reduce risk without sacrificing potential returns.
Good luck! ⚽💰

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on SK Brann x Bologna?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2026, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from SK Brann x Bologna for the UEFA Europa League – 19 of February

Latest news about SK Brann x Bologna

SK Brann: SK Brann is currently in 13th place in Norways Eliteserien and faces a tough sequence of matches in the coming weeks, including an away game against Bodø/Glimt scheduled for May 25, 2026, at Aspmyra Stadium, followed by a Europa League match against Bologna on February 19, 2026, at 17:45 UTC, and a domestic league duel against Kristiansund BK on March 15, 2026. The clubs under-19 team will travel to face Viking FK U-19 on February 25, 2026, in the U-19 National Cup, while the U-17 team recently secured a 1-0 victory over Riga Mariners U-17 in the Riga Cup. Key professional players include Icelandic midfielder Kristall Máni Ingason (24 years old, jersey 10) and Danish defender Jacob Lungi Sørensen (27 years old, jersey 18).

Bologna: Bologna broke a streak of four losses with a 2-1 victory over Torino in Serie A on February 15, 2026, thanks to a first-half goal by Santiago Castro and another in the second half by Nikola Moro; goalkeeper Skorupski managed to keep a clean sheet. Coach Vincenzo Italiano set up the team in a 4-2-3-1 formation with Joao Mario, Vitik, Lucumì, and Miranda in defense, Freuler and Moro protecting the back line, and the attack consisting of Bernardeschi, Simon Sohm, and Rowe supporting Castro. Three injuries (Lykogiannis, Heggem, De Silvestri) and one suspension (Pobega) limited squad options. After the win, Bologna will face SK Brann in the Europa League playoff first leg on Thursday, focusing on strengthening the attack, with Castro now having six league goals and a fantasy rating of 7, while Sohm is expected to start the next match.

Table analysis for the match between SK Brann x Bologna

SK Brann: The team is in 24th place, with only 9 points and a negative goal difference (-2). Considering the round and the table, SK Brann has little chance of climbing the standings and reaching the more advanced stages of the competition. Therefore, the game has little significance for them in terms of ranking, and can be seen as an opportunity to gain experience or improve performance, but without a decisive impact on the championship.

Bologna: Bologna is in 10th place, with 15 points, close to the qualification playoff zone. A victory could be very important for Bologna, as it would help maintain or improve their position, increasing their chances of advancing in the tournament. Therefore, for Bologna, the match is important and could influence the teams continuation in the competition.

Summary: The matchup is more important for Bologna, which can still seek to improve its position and advance in the tournament, while SK Brann no longer has significant chances of progression, making the game less decisive for them.

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for SK Brann x Bologna

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between SK Brann x Bologna.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for SK Brann x Bologna

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SK Brann x Bologna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1482984 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on SK Brann worth it?

🔵 SK Brann: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $649.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$131.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $663.00
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$77.00.

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔴 Bologna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $442.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$38.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SK Brann x Bologna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SK Brann
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SK Brann x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 SK Brann and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 SK Brann.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 SK Brann.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SK Brann x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for SK Brann x Bologna