Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC Betting tips for February 19 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC, Thursday, 19/2/2026

📅 19/2/2026 20:00

Ludogorets Razgrad 2.65

X 3.25

Ferencvarosi TC 2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC:

🔮 Ludogorets Razgrad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ludogorets Razgrad, you can win up to $1325.00!

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The main points for the tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ludogorets Razgrad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $234.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferencvarosi TC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Ludogorets Razgrad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Ludogorets Razgrad is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Ferencvarosi TC:

Lets analyze the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and Ferencvarosi TC at the Huvepharma Arena, home of Ludogorets, which is a modern stadium with a capacity of 12,500 fans, providing good support for the Bulgarian team.

📈 Table and morale analysis: Ludogorets is in a good position in Bulgarias Parva Liga, holding second place with 43 points, showing strength in the domestic championship. Ferencvarosi TC leads Hungarys NB I under Robbie Keane and comes off a recent 4-0 victory in the Hungarian Cup. Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the UEFA Europa League.

📰 Recent news: Ludogorets comes from an important win against Beroe (2-1) and has a mixed record against Ferencvaros in recent European clashes — lost twice recently but also won and drew important matches. Ferencvaros has an experienced squad with several international players and is under strong technical leadership from Keane, who has brought positive results to the Hungarian team.

Statistical analysis:

• Ludogorets scores an average of 2 goals at home in recent matches (9 goals in 5 games), conceding only 1 goal per game;
• In recent league matches, they score about 1.6 goals (8/5) and concede about 1.2;
• Ferencvarosi away has a lower offensive average: just over half a goal per away game (3 goals in last five away matches), conceding more goals (average over 1.6);
• Possession is balanced but slightly favors the home team;
• Ludogorets defense appears more solid at home compared to the visiting teams defensive fragility away;

Odds and probability calculations:

• Implicit probabilities: Ludogorets win ≈ 37.7%, Draw ≈ 30.8%, Ferencvarosi win ≈ 38.5%;
• Adjusted for total probability: Ludogorets ≈ 34%, Draw ≈ 28%, Ferencvarosi ≈ 38%;

Context-adjusted fair odds:

• Ludogorets shows better offensive/defensive performance at home; fair odds are around 2.9 for their win considering their local dominance;
• Betting on a draw doesnt seem very attractive given the few recent draws and the offensive characteristics of both teams (~3.6);
• Ferencvarosis win is competitive (~2.7), but their vulnerable defense away could weigh against them in this specific game.

Expected value EV (%):

• Ludogorets has a positive EV close to +10%
• Draw has a negative EV (-3%)
• Visitor win has a strong negative EV (-15%) due to offered odds versus estimated real probability.

Based on this, my recommended bet is on Ludogorets Razgrad, as statistics indicate better defensive solidity and offensive performance at Huvepharma Arena, and current odds offer a positive expected value above +5%. The team also benefits from strong local support in a stadium where they tend to dominate.

However, I partially disagree with the Bets Kenya model that suggests value only for the home team — I agree with the choice but believe the final odds may still be underestimating this chance given the defensive fragility of the visitors evidenced in recent statistics.

⚽ Bet responsibly! Valuing detailed analyses like this increases your chances! 🍀💰

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Analysis from Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC for the UEFA Europa League – 19 of February

Latest news on the match between Ludogorets Razgrad and Ferencvarosi TC

Ludogorets Razgrad: Ludogorets Razgrad is currently preparing for the first leg of the UEFA Europa League knockout stage against Ferencváros, scheduled for February 19, 2026, at Huvepharma Arena in Razgrad. The team advanced to this stage after a 2-1 victory in the domestic league over Beroe Stara Zagora in the Parva Liga. Meanwhile, the Ludogorets II reserve team will face FK Sportist Svoge on February 16, 2026, in the Vtora Liga, while the U-17 team is also active. Recent encounters against Ferencváros show a mixed record – losses of 3-1 (November 2025) and 3-0 (August 2025), draws of 0-0 (August 2025) and 1-1 (December 2019), plus a 3-0 victory (October 2019). P. Stanic is the top scorer, while defender D. Almeida leads in assists, maintaining the club’s dominance at the top of Bulgarian football, competing in Parva Liga, Bulgarian Cup, Super Cup, and European competitions.

Ferencvárosi TC: Founded on May 3, 1899, Ferencvárosi TC plays its home matches at Groupama Arena in Budapest, with a capacity of 23,700 fans, and is currently managed by former Irish international Robbie Keane, who took over in January 2025. Under his leadership, the team has topped Hungary’s NB I table (Fizz Liga), including a recent 4-0 victory in the Hungarian Cup. The team has an average age of 26.5 years, includes six foreign players, and 23 players called up for national teams. Ferencváros will face Zalaegerszegi TE in the league on February 14, 2026, followed by a match against MTK Budapest on February 23, 2026. Keane’s success has sparked speculation linking him to the Tottenham Hotspur coaching vacancy.

Table analysis for the match between Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

Ludogorets Razgrad: Ludogorets is in 22nd place with 10 points, in the lowest zone of the table and has little real chance of fighting for spots in international competitions or making significant progress in this UEFA Europa League phase. The match against Ferencvarosi TC, therefore, has little importance for them, serving more as an opportunity to gain experience and improve performance, with no direct impact on the standings.

Ferencvarosi TC: Ferencvarosi is better placed on the table, in 12th position, with 15 points, still holding hope to advance to the playoffs or even dream of better spots. The match against Ludogorets is quite important for them, as a victory could secure valuable points to climb the table and reach a more comfortable position.

Summary: This game is important for Ferencvarosi TC, which is still seeking to improve its position in the competition, while for Ludogorets Razgrad it is a less impactful match in the tournament. ⚽️

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1482984 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Ludogorets Razgrad?

🔵 Ludogorets Razgrad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$60.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $652.50;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$57.50.

Should you bet on Ferencvarosi TC?

🔴 Ferencvarosi TC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$194.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Ludogorets Razgrad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Ludogorets Razgrad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Ludogorets Razgrad.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Ludogorets Razgrad x Ferencvarosi TC