Celtic x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for February 19 in UEFA Europa League

Our betting tip for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart, Thursday, 19/2/2026

📅 19/2/2026 20:00

Celtic 3.17

X 3.40

VfB Stuttgart 2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

Some important points for the tip for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Celtic in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $126.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $175.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Celtic scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Celtic is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Celtic vs VfB Stuttgart?

⚽ The match between Celtic and VfB Stuttgart promises to be quite balanced, but with a slight favoritism for the German team according to current odds. Celtic comes from an impressive home streak, with 5 wins in the last 5 games and a high goal average (14 goals in 5 games), along with clear dominance in ball possession (66%) and offensive volume (17 shots per game). Stuttgart, on the other hand, shows good away performance, with 3 wins in the last 5 matches and a solid goal average (11 goals in 5 matches), although they have conceded more goals than Celtic.

📊 Calculating fair probabilities based on median odds adjusted for the house margin: approximately 31% for Celtic win, 29% for draw, and 40% for Stuttgart win. This indicates the market sees a higher chance for the visitors to win, but it does not completely dismiss the home advantage at the iconic Celtic Park stadium — known for its electrifying atmosphere that boosts the home team.

📈 In the European league table, both teams are motivated: Celtic aims to get closer to the national leaders after a recent dramatic comeback that shows their competitive spirit; Stuttgart is riding high on recent good performances in the Bundesliga and wants to maintain their good form aiming for European qualification. This mutual need increases expectations for an open and competitive game.

📰 The news reinforces this analysis: Coach Martin O’Neill highlighted Celtic’s fighting spirit in recent matches, even warning about relying too much on added time; Sebastian Hoeneß praised Stuttgart’s squad confidence despite recent medical concerns. This suggests focused teams but with physical challenges that could influence the pace of the game.

💡 My suggestion is to consider value betting on the draw or even a combined bet involving double results (draw or Celtic win) due to the Scottish team’s defensive strength at home combined with the stadium factor — something that could balance the forces against a strong opponent like Stuttgart. The current model seems to slightly underestimate this possibility by assigning very high odds to the draw.

🎯 In summary: despite the final odds slightly favoring VfB Stuttgart (2.1 vs 3.3 for Celtic), I believe in a close contest where betting on the draw could bring interesting value considering offensive/defensive stats and recent emotional context of the teams.

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Analysis from Celtic x VfB Stuttgart for the UEFA Europa League – 19 of February

Latest news on the match between Celtic and VfB Stuttgart

Celtic: Celtic achieved a dramatic 3-2 victory over Kilmarnock on February 15, 2026, overturning a 2-0 deficit at halftime with late goals from Benjamin Nygren (56′), Sidi Tounekti (64′), and a winning goal in the 97th minute scored by Julian Araujo, securing three points for the club and closing the gap to the league leaders to three points with one game in hand; coach Martin O’Neill praised the team’s spirit after the comeback but warned that relying on goals in injury time is unsustainable, noting that this was the third consecutive match in eight days where Celtic was saved by late goals, a pattern that has become characteristic of recent title-chasing teams.

VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart started 2026 in good form, achieving a dramatic 3-1 victory over 1. FC Köln with Ermedin Demirovic scoring two goals and Deniz Undav netting on his birthday, a win that placed them in the race for European qualification under coach Sebastian Hoeneß, who praised the squad’s confidence and highlighted the importance of Angelo Stiller despite a recent mild illness that might rule him out of the next game; the club also faces several personnel issues, including the possible summer departure of Hoffenheim vice-captain Grischa Prömel, growing interest from Borussia Dortmund and Nottingham Forest in winger Ramon Hendriks, Jamie Leweling’s confirmed desire to stay, while Jeff Chabot impressed Hoeneß and is expected to start against Köln, and a persistent injury to Justin Diehl remains a concern, all as Stuttgart prepares for upcoming Bundesliga matches and a DFB-Pokal semi-final that could further impact their league position.

Table analysis for the game between Celtic and VfB Stuttgart

Celtic: Celtic is in 21st place with 11 points, a quite low position in the UEFA Europa League table. Considering that there are already 20 teams with higher points and Celtic is out of the playoff spots or important qualifications, this match does not have a decisive impact on their ambitions at this stage of the competition. It is a game of little relevance for Celtic, which is already far from bigger objectives on the table.

VfB Stuttgart: VfB Stuttgart is in 11th place with 15 points and is close to the playoff qualification zone. With a positive goal difference and only a few positions below the direct qualification range, this game could be vital to try to secure a spot in the next phase. Therefore, the match against Celtic presents a good opportunity to strengthen their campaign and continue fighting for the UEFA Europa League playoffs.

Summary: The match is important for VfB Stuttgart, which is still seeking a playoff spot, but has no significant impact for Celtic, which is far from qualification positions. ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Celtic x VfB Stuttgart.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

When the best bet on Celtic x VfB Stuttgart is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482984 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Celtic?

🔵 Celtic: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $672.70;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$17.30 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$354.00.

Is it worth betting on VfB Stuttgart?

🔴 VfB Stuttgart: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $625.00
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$125.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Celtic
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Celtic, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Celtic.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Celtic.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Celtic x VfB Stuttgart