Brentford x Brighton Betting tips for February 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brentford x Brighton, Saturday, 21/2/2026

📅 21/2/2026 15:00

Brentford 2.13

X 3.52

Brighton 3.27

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brentford x Brighton:

🔮 Brighton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brighton, you can win up to $1635.00!

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The main points for the tip for Brentford x Brighton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Brighton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Brighton as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Brentford x Brighton for the England Premier League – 21 of February

How the handicap and odds moved for Brentford x Brighton

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Brentford x Brighton.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brentford x Brighton

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brentford x Brighton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482962 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it worth betting on Brentford?

🔵 Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – profiting $452.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$148.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $705.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$14.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

🔴 Brighton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $726.40;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$46.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brentford x Brighton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Brentford
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brentford x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Brentford and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Brentford.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Brentford.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brentford x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Brentford x Brighton