Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC Betting tips for February 20 in Kenya Premier League
| 📅 20/2/2026 12:00 |
Kakamega Homeboyz1.50 |
X 3.45 |
Sofapaka FC ![]() 6.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
Some important points for the tip for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kakamega Homeboyz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sofapaka FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Sofapaka FC did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Kakamega Homeboyz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sofapaka FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Kakamega Homeboyz has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sofapaka FC playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Sofapaka FC as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC for the Kenya Premier League – 20 of February
🏟️ Kakamega Homeboyz X Sofapaka FC – Kenya Premier League
📅 20 of February, 2026 – 12:00
🔵 Kakamega Homeboyz – Winning probability: 75.96% | Fair line: 1.32
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.52% | Fair line: 5.4
🔴 Sofapaka FC – Winning probability: 5.52% | Fair line: 18.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC (1X2, handicap and goals).
📊 The odds for Kakamega Homeboyz had a great Decreased of -11.13%: the market opened with odds of @1.5 for Kakamega Homeboyz and now the odds are @1.333.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Raised of 17.65%: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @4.0.
📊 The odds for Sofapaka FC had a huge Raised of 30.77%: the market opened with odds of @6.5 for Sofapaka FC and now the odds are @8.5.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -1.00 is now at -1.25 for Kakamega Homeboyz.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kakamega Homeboyz and Sofapaka FC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1483265 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it a good idea to bet on Kakamega Homeboyz?
🔵 Kakamega Homeboyz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$140.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $465.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$344.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sofapaka FC?
🔴 Sofapaka FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $330.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$610.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Kakamega Homeboyz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Kakamega Homeboyz.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Sofapaka FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC
Who is the favourite: Kakamega Homeboyz or Sofapaka FC?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Kakamega Homeboyz, with an estimated chance of 75.96%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Kakamega Homeboyz or Sofapaka FC?
Keep in mind: there are no certainties in sports betting and we cannot guarantee a winner. But based on our analysis, we believe Kakamega Homeboyz has the higher chance to win this game, with a probability of 75.96%. If you bet on Kakamega Homeboyz, do so responsibly!
What are the chances of Kakamega Homeboyz beating Sofapaka FC today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Kakamega Homeboyz would win about 76 of those against Sofapaka FC.
What are the chances of Sofapaka FC beating Kakamega Homeboyz today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Sofapaka FC would win about 6 of those versus Kakamega Homeboyz.
Which team should I bet on: Kakamega Homeboyz or Sofapaka FC?
Our analysis did not find a clear positive expected value bet for this match. Remember to always manage your bankroll and bet responsibly: avoid staking more than 2% of your balance!
How much is Kakamega Homeboyz paying today? See what you can win by betting on Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC:
The odds for Kakamega Homeboyz to beat Sofapaka FC today are around 1.50. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1500.00 if Kakamega Homeboyz wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Sofapaka FC paying today? See what you can win by betting on Kakamega Homeboyz x Sofapaka FC:
The average odds for Sofapaka FC to beat Kakamega Homeboyz today are 6.50. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh6500.00 if Sofapaka FC wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Kakamega Homeboyz