Atlas x Cruz Azul Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atlas x Cruz Azul, Thursday, 7/11/2024

📅 7/11/2024 03:05

Atlas 4.00

X 3.50

Cruz Azul 1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atlas x Cruz Azul:

🔮 Cruz Azul wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruz Azul, you can win up to $890.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Atlas x Cruz Azul: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $313.0. 👉 Atlas did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Cruz Azul scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cruz Azul, Atlas scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Atlas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Cruz Azul is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Atlas has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cruz Azul playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atlas x Cruz Azul?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Atlas x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX – 7 of November

When the best bet on Atlas x Cruz Azul is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1217748 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atlas x Cruz Azul

Is betting on Atlas worth it?

🔵 Atlas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $450.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $300.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is betting on Cruz Azul worth it?

🔴 Cruz Azul: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 730 times – profiting $569.40;
• And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$299.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atlas x Cruz Azul

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Atlas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atlas x Cruz Azul

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Atlas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Atlas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atlas x Cruz Azul

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.