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Home ยป Predictions ยป Atlas x Mazatlan FC Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga MX
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Atlas Atlas
PREDICTION Mazatlan FC Wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Atlas x Mazatlan FC Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atlas x Mazatlan FC, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
01:00
Atlas Atlas
2.20
X
3.25
Mazatlan FC Mazatlan FC
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atlas x Mazatlan FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mazatlan FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mazatlan FC, you can win up to $1550.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atlas x Mazatlan FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atlas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $227.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mazatlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Mazatlan FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mazatlan FC, Atlas scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Mazatlan FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atlas x Mazatlan FC for the Mexico Liga MX – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Atlas X Mazatlan FC – Mexico Liga MX
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Atlas – Winning probability: 30.06% | Fair line: 3.33
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.39% | Fair line: 3.19
๐Ÿ”ด Mazatlan FC – Winning probability: 38.55% | Fair line: 2.59
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atlas
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atlas x Mazatlan FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atlas x Mazatlan FC

Is it worth betting on Atlas?

๐Ÿ”ต Atlas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$340.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $697.50
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$7.50.

Is it worth betting on Mazatlan FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Mazatlan FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $819.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$209.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atlas x Mazatlan FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atlas
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atlas x Mazatlan FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Atlas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atlas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Mazatlan FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atlas x Mazatlan FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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