Atletico San Luis x Toluca Betting tips for April 17 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis x Toluca, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025 02:00

Atletico San Luis 4.10

X 3.82

Toluca 1.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico San Luis x Toluca:

🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $860.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Atletico San Luis x Toluca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $295.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $47.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atletico San Luis scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Toluca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Atletico San Luis is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico San Luis x Toluca?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico San Luis x Toluca, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico San Luis x Toluca for the Mexico Liga MX – 17 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico San Luis x Toluca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1305181 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Toluca

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico San Luis?

🔵 Atletico San Luis: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $403.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$467.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $479.40;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Toluca?

🔴 Toluca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $504.00;
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis x Toluca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Atletico San Luis
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis x Toluca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Atletico San Luis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Atletico San Luis.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Atletico San Luis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis x Toluca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.