Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie A
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense
PREDICTION Athletico Paranaense wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @2.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense Betting tips for December 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
21:30
Athletico Paranaense Athletico Paranaense
2.07
X
3.10
Fluminense Fluminense
3.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense:

🔮 Athletico Paranaense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletico Paranaense, you can win up to $1035.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Athletico Paranaense scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of December

🏟️ Athletico Paranaense X Fluminense – Brazil Serie A
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Athletico Paranaense – Winning probability: 51.89% | Fair line: 1.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.81% | Fair line: 3.6
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 20.30% | Fair line: 4.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230541 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?

🔵 Athletico Paranaense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $556.40;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$76.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$260.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Athletico Paranaense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Athletico Paranaense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Athletico Paranaense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletico Paranaense x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters