Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras Betting tips for September 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 18:30

Athletico Paranaense 2.85

X 3.20

Palmeiras 2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-14.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Palmeiras scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Palmeiras, Athletico Paranaense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Athletico Paranaense conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Palmeiras conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1171696 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras

Is betting on Athletico Paranaense worth it?

🔵 Athletico Paranaense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $407.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $770.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it worth betting on Palmeiras?

🔴 Palmeiras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Athletico Paranaense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Athletico Paranaense.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletico Paranaense x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.