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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Atletico GO x Fortaleza Betting tips for December 5 in Brazil Serie A
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie A
Atletico GO Atletico GO
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Fortaleza Fortaleza
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico GO x Fortaleza Betting tips for December 5 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico GO x Fortaleza, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
00:30
Atletico GO Atletico GO
2.82
X
3.25
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico GO x Fortaleza:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico GO x Fortaleza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 6 Atletico GO matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico GO x Fortaleza, with Atletico GO as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico GO x Fortaleza?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico GO x Fortaleza, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico GO x Fortaleza for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of December

🏟️ Atletico GO X Fortaleza – Brazil Serie A
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 33.71% | Fair line: 2.97
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.38% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 31.91% | Fair line: 3.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico GO
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico GO x Fortaleza right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232622 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico GO x Fortaleza

Should you bet on Atletico GO?

🔵 Atletico GO: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $618.80;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$41.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.00.

Is it worth betting on Fortaleza?

🔴 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $464.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico GO x Fortaleza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico GO
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico GO x Fortaleza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Atletico GO, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico GO.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Fortaleza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico GO x Fortaleza

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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