Atletico Mineiro x Gremio Betting tips for October 9 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio, Wednesday, 9/10/2024

📅 9/10/2024 19:30

Atletico Mineiro 1.88

X 3.40

Gremio 4.18

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio:

🔮 Gremio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio, you can win up to $2090.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $54.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Gremio, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x Gremio, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Gremio has not lost any of them. 👉 Atletico Mineiro has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Gremio.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x Gremio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x Gremio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Gremio for the Brazil Serie A – 9 of October

When the best bet on Atletico Mineiro x Gremio is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1197596 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $343.20;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$266.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Should you bet on Gremio?

🔴 Gremio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $1208.40;
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$588.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Gremio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Atletico Mineiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Mineiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Gremio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Gremio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.