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Home Β» Predictions Β» Brazil Serie A Β» Atletico Mineiro x Internacional Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie A
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
PREDICTION No tip
Internacional Internacional
Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Mineiro x Internacional Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional, Saturday, 26/10/2024
πŸ“… 26/10/2024
22:00
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
2.88
X
3.20
Internacional Internacional
2.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $264.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Internacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Internacional scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Internacional, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x Internacional, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Atletico Mineiro matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Internacional matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Internacional conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Internacional has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Atletico Mineiro has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Internacional playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atletico Mineiro x Internacional?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Mineiro x Internacional:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Internacional for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of October

🏟️ Atletico Mineiro X Internacional – Brazil Serie A
πŸ“… 26 of October, 2024 – 22:00
πŸ”΅ Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 25.17% | Fair line: 3.97
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.74% | Fair line: 3.61
πŸ”΄ Internacional – Winning probability: 47.09% | Fair line: 2.12
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Mineiro and Internacional.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209027 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional

Is it worth betting on Atletico Mineiro?

πŸ”΅ Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $470.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $616.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Should you bet on Internacional?

πŸ”΄ Internacional: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $681.50;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$151.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Internacional

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Atletico Mineiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atletico Mineiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Internacional.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Internacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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