Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria Betting tips for October 5 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 16:30

Atletico Mineiro 1.56

X 3.76

Vitoria 6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria:

🔮 Atletico Mineiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Mineiro, you can win up to $780.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $54.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $800.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Vitoria, Atletico Mineiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Mineiro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Vitoria. 👉 Atletico Mineiro is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Mineiro and Vitoria.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria

Is it worth betting on Atletico Mineiro?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 800 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$248.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $386.40;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$473.60.

Should you bet on Vitoria?

🔴 Vitoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $300.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atletico Mineiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Vitoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.