Botafogo x Criciuma Betting tips for October 18 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 18/10/2024 23:00 |
 Botafogo1.42 |
X 4.40 |
Criciuma  7.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Criciuma:
🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $710.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Botafogo x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $62.0. |
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Analysis from Botafogo x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 18 of October
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🏟️ Botafogo X Criciuma – Brazil Serie A |
When the best bet on Botafogo x Criciuma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Botafogo x Criciuma
Should you bet on Botafogo?
🔵 Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 87.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $365.40
- And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.
Should you bet on Criciuma?
🔴 Criciuma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
- And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$790.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Criciuma
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Criciuma
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Botafogo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Criciuma
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
