Botafogo x Fortaleza EC Betting tips for August 31 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC, Saturday, 31/8/2024

📅 31/8/2024 21:00

Botafogo 1.85

X 3.40

Fortaleza EC 4.27

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC

Some important points for the tip for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza EC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $875.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fortaleza EC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fortaleza EC, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Botafogo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Fortaleza EC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Fortaleza EC has not lost any of them.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Botafogo x Fortaleza EC?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Botafogo x Fortaleza EC for the Brazil Serie A – 31 of August

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Botafogo and Fortaleza EC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171269 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔵 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $484.50;
• And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $624.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is betting on Fortaleza EC worth it?

🔴 Fortaleza EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $555.90;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Fortaleza EC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Botafogo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Fortaleza EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.