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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Bragantino x Botafogo Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 26 October 2024, 22h00 Brazil Serie A
Bragantino Bragantino
PREDICTION Botafogo Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Botafogo Botafogo
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Bragantino x Botafogo Betting tips for October 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Bragantino x Botafogo, Saturday, 26/10/2024
📅 26/10/2024
22:00
Bragantino Bragantino
3.40
X
3.30
Botafogo Botafogo
2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bragantino x Botafogo:

🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bragantino x Botafogo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Botafogo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Bragantino conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Botafogo.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Botafogo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bragantino x Botafogo for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of October

🏟️ Bragantino X Botafogo – Brazil Serie A
📅 26 of October, 2024 – 22:00
🔵 Bragantino – Winning probability: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.02% | Fair line: 3.7
🔴 Botafogo – Winning probability: 50.56% | Fair line: 1.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bragantino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bragantino and Botafogo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209027 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bragantino x Botafogo

Is it worth betting on Bragantino?

🔵 Bragantino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $621.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is it worth betting on Botafogo?

🔴 Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $535.50
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$45.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bragantino x Botafogo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Bragantino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bragantino x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Bragantino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Bragantino. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bragantino x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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