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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Bragantino x Gremio Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 15 September 2024, 16h00 Brazil Serie A
Bragantino Bragantino
PREDICTION Bragantino wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Gremio Gremio
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Bragantino x Gremio Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Bragantino x Gremio, Sunday, 15/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 15/9/2024
16:00
Bragantino Bragantino
2.10
X
3.32
Gremio Gremio
3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bragantino x Gremio:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bragantino wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bragantino, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bragantino x Gremio:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $600.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Bragantino scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Gremio, Bragantino scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Bragantino x Gremio, with Bragantino as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Bragantino matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bragantino conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bragantino has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Gremio.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bragantino x Gremio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bragantino x Gremio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bragantino x Gremio for the Brazil Serie A – 15 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bragantino X Gremio – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 15 of September, 2024 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Bragantino – Winning probability: 50.40% | Fair line: 1.98
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
๐Ÿ”ด Gremio – Winning probability: 25.22% | Fair line: 3.97
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bragantino
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bragantino x Gremio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180290 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bragantino x Gremio

Should you bet on Bragantino?

๐Ÿ”ต Bragantino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$50.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $556.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$203.20.

Is it worth betting on Gremio?

๐Ÿ”ด Gremio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $575.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$175.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bragantino x Gremio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Bragantino
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bragantino x Gremio

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Bragantino and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bragantino.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Gremio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bragantino x Gremio

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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