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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Corinthians x EC Bahia Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie A
Corinthians Corinthians
PREDICTION Corinthians wins Probability 8% 1 X 2
EC Bahia EC Bahia
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Corinthians x EC Bahia Betting tips for November 25 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Corinthians x EC Bahia, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
00:00
Corinthians Corinthians
2.00
X
3.30
EC Bahia EC Bahia
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Corinthians x EC Bahia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Corinthians wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Corinthians x EC Bahia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ EC Bahia did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against EC Bahia, Corinthians scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Corinthians matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Corinthians x EC Bahia, with Corinthians as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, EC Bahia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against EC Bahia.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Corinthians has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against EC Bahia.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for EC Bahia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Corinthians x EC Bahia

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Corinthians x EC Bahia for the Brazil Serie A – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Corinthians X EC Bahia – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 00:00
๐Ÿ”ต Corinthians – Winning probability: 81.70% | Fair line: 1.22
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.45% | Fair line: 10.58
๐Ÿ”ด EC Bahia – Winning probability: 8.85% | Fair line: 11.3
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Corinthians
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Corinthians x EC Bahia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x EC Bahia

Is it worth betting on Corinthians?

๐Ÿ”ต Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $820.00;
  • And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$640.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $207.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$703.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Bahia?

๐Ÿ”ด EC Bahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $234.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$676.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x EC Bahia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Corinthians
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x EC Bahia

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Corinthians. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x EC Bahia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves