Corinthians x EC Juventude Betting tips for December 7 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Corinthians x EC Juventude, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 19:00

Corinthians 1.42

X 4.33

EC Juventude 7.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Corinthians x EC Juventude:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $710.00!

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Important information for your tip for Corinthians x EC Juventude:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $510.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against EC Juventude, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against EC Juventude playing at home.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Corinthians vs EC Juventude:

Lets analyze the match between Corinthians and EC Juventude at Neo Química Arena for the Brasileirão Série A. The stadium is truly the home advantage for Corinthians, which has a strong edge playing at home, with an average of 2 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game in their recent matches at the stadium. The São Paulo team also dominates possession (61%) and takes more shots (14 per game) compared to Juventude, which has lower averages in both goals and possession (41%).

📰 News: Corinthians faces important absences such as Yuri Alberto and suspensions of Matheuzinho and Charles, which may slightly weaken their starting lineup. Meanwhile, Juventude has been relegated to Serie B, with changes in the coaching staff and squad for the next season. This indicates less motivation for the visitors in this final round.

📈 Table analysis: Although we dont have exact data on the teams positions from the prompt, we know that Corinthians is still fighting for a spot at the top of the table, while Juventude has already been relegated. This increases the pressure on the Timão to win at home.

𝕏 Social media: No relevant information or significant rumors about the teams were found on X social media that directly impact this analysis.

Evaluating the median odds offered by betting houses: Corinthians win (1.41), draw (4.5), Juventude win (7.5). After normalizing the implicit probabilities, we have approximately a 63% chance for the home team to win, 20% for a draw, and 17% for an away win — values consistent with recent team statistics.

However, our internal model predicts very low odds for a Corinthians victory (~1.22), indicating high confidence in this bet; very high odds for a draw (~9), and for an away win (~14), suggesting low probability for these outcomes — this results in a high positive expected value only on the bet for the home team (+27%).

Based on this, I fully agree with the models suggestion: betting on Corinthians to win is the best choice here! Even considering Corinthians absences, they play at home in a stadium where they clearly dominate less motivated opponents like the relegated EC Juventude.

Recommended bet: Corinthians to win 🏆

Extra tip: Avoid bets on a draw or an away win, as they present a negative expected value according to our combined recent statistics + news + emotional context of the teams.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Corinthians x EC Juventude?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Corinthians x EC Juventude:

Analysis from Corinthians x EC Juventude for the Brazil Serie A – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x EC Juventude right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1449543 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Corinthians x EC Juventude

Corinthians: Corinthians still has a chance to finish the Brasileirão in eighth place, needing to beat Fortaleza and rely on São Paulos victory over Internacional, while in the last round they will face Juventude. The team will play without Yuri Alberto, who has edema in the pubic region, and without Rodrigo Garro, who is undergoing treatment for a muscle strain, in addition to Matheuzinho and midfielder Charles being suspended, which led coach Dorival Júnior to field a mixed team against Fortaleza. The club is under restrictions on registering new players due to sanctions from FIFA and CBF, but the coach has already requested reinforcements for 2026, and Timão is preparing for the Copa do Brasil semi-final against Cruzeiro. Meanwhile, the womens team advanced to the Paulista Championship final, having beaten São Paulo 2-1 in the first leg and preparing for the return match at Neo Química Arena.

EC Juventude: EC Juventude finished the 2025 campaign in Serie A with the confirmation of relegation to Serie B in 2026 after losing 3-0 to Santos in the last round, a match in which Neymar scored a hat-trick. Coach Thiago Carpini announced he will leave the club at the end of the Brasileirão, although it is not yet decided if he will stay for the next season, while football director Júlio Rondinelli left the club by mutual agreement after three seasons marked by achievements such as the Serie B runner-up and maintaining top-flight status. In the final match, Juventude played with a suspension (midfielder Caíque) and saw the return of Igor Formiga, with Jadson replacing Caíque, and also had Gilberto, Wilker Ángel, and Peixoto back in training, although Lucas Fernandes remained injured. The club is already preparing for the Gaucho Championship in January and Serie B in March 2026.

Table analysis for the match between Corinthians x EC Juventude

Corinthians: Corinthians is in 10th place with 46 points, in the qualification zone for the Copa Sudamericana. With a reasonable gap to teams both above and below in the table, the match against Juventude remains important for the Timão because it can ensure greater peace of mind in the competition or even try to climb a few positions in the standings in the final rounds, aiming to improve their placement for international qualifications.

EC Juventude: Juventude is in 19th position, second to last, with only 34 points, already virtually relegated to a lower division (second division). With 5 more defeats than Corinthians and no practical chances of escaping relegation in this final stretch, the importance of the game for Juventude is low, serving more to attempt moral recovery and prepare the team for the next season at a different level.

Summary: This match is important for Corinthians, who still seek to improve their position and secure a spot in international competitions, while for EC Juventude the game is practically irrelevant in the competitive aspect, as relegation is already almost certain.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x EC Juventude

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔵 Corinthians: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – this would give you a profit of $344.40
• And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$164.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $366.30;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Juventude?

🔴 EC Juventude: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $451.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$478.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x EC Juventude

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x EC Juventude

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Corinthians.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x EC Juventude

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.