Corinthians x Flamengo Betting tips for September 1 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Flamengo, Sunday, 1/9/2024

📅 1/9/2024 16:00

Corinthians 3.10

X 3.23

Flamengo 2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Corinthians x Flamengo:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $1550.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Corinthians x Flamengo, with Corinthians as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Corinthians conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Corinthians x Flamengo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Flamengo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Corinthians x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 1 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Flamengo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Corinthians x Flamengo

Should you bet on Corinthians?

🔵 Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$116.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $669.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$31.00.

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $435.20
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$224.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Flamengo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Corinthians.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.