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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Corinthians x Fluminense Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 22h30 Brazil Serie A
Corinthians Corinthians
PREDICTION Corinthians wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Corinthians x Fluminense Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Fluminense, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
22:30
Corinthians Corinthians
1.80
X
3.50
Fluminense Fluminense
4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Corinthians x Fluminense:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Corinthians x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $6.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 In the last 4 Fluminense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Fluminense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Fluminense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Corinthians x Fluminense for the Brazil Serie A – 16 of April

🏟️ Corinthians X Fluminense – Brazil Serie A
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 22:30
🔵 Corinthians – Winning probability: 73.04% | Fair line: 1.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.88% | Fair line: 5.92
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 10.08% | Fair line: 9.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Corinthians x Fluminense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Corinthians x Fluminense

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔵 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $584.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$314.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$405.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $340.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Fluminense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Corinthians.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Corinthians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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