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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Criciuma x Atletico GO Betting tips for October 3 in Brazil Serie A
Thursday, 03 October 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
Criciuma Criciuma
PREDICTION Criciuma wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Atletico GO Atletico GO
ODD: @1.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Criciuma x Atletico GO Betting tips for October 3 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Criciuma x Atletico GO, Thursday, 3/10/2024
📅 3/10/2024
19:00
Criciuma Criciuma
1.86
X
3.34
Atletico GO Atletico GO
4.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Criciuma x Atletico GO:

🔮 Criciuma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Criciuma, you can win up to $930.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Criciuma x Atletico GO:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Criciuma matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico GO conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Atletico GO as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Criciuma x Atletico GO?

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Analysis from Criciuma x Atletico GO for the Brazil Serie A – 3 of October

🏟️ Criciuma X Atletico GO – Brazil Serie A
📅 3 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Criciuma – Winning probability: 60.22% | Fair line: 1.66
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.38% | Fair line: 4.28
🔴 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 16.40% | Fair line: 6.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Criciuma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Criciuma x Atletico GO is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194241 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Criciuma x Atletico GO

Is it a good idea to bet on Criciuma?

🔵 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $516.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $538.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$231.80.

Is it worth betting on Atletico GO?

🔴 Atletico GO: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $531.20
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$308.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Criciuma x Atletico GO

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Criciuma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Criciuma x Atletico GO

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Criciuma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Criciuma.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Criciuma x Atletico GO

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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