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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Criciuma x Corinthians Betting tips for November 30 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 22h30 Brazil Serie A
Criciuma Criciuma
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Corinthians Corinthians
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Criciuma x Corinthians Betting tips for November 30 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Criciuma x Corinthians, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
22:30
Criciuma Criciuma
2.93
X
3.20
Corinthians Corinthians
2.38

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Criciuma x Corinthians:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Criciuma x Corinthians:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Criciuma matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Criciuma x Corinthians?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Criciuma x Corinthians, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Criciuma x Corinthians for the Brazil Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Criciuma X Corinthians – Brazil Serie A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Criciuma – Winning probability: 23.13% | Fair line: 4.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.59% | Fair line: 2.53
🔴 Corinthians – Winning probability: 37.28% | Fair line: 2.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Criciuma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Criciuma x Corinthians is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Criciuma x Corinthians

Is it worth betting on Criciuma?

🔵 Criciuma: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $443.90;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$326.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $880.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$280.00.

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $510.60
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$119.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Criciuma x Corinthians

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Criciuma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Criciuma x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Criciuma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Criciuma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Corinthians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Criciuma x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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