Criciuma x Sao Paulo Betting tips for October 27 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 27/10/2024 01:00 |
 Criciuma2.85 |
X 3.10 |
Sao Paulo  2.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Criciuma x Sao Paulo:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Criciuma x Sao Paulo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Criciuma x Sao Paulo?
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Analysis from Criciuma x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of October
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🏟️ Criciuma X Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Criciuma x Sao Paulo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1209557 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Criciuma x Sao Paulo
Is betting on Criciuma worth it?
🔵 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $481.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$259.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $735.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.00.
Should you bet on Sao Paulo?
🔴 Sao Paulo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Criciuma x Sao Paulo
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Criciuma
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Criciuma x Sao Paulo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Criciuma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Criciuma.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Criciuma.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Criciuma x Sao Paulo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
