Cruzeiro x Chapecoense Betting tips for May 24 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense, Sunday, 24/5/2026

📅 24/5/2026 19:00

Cruzeiro 1.33

X 4.93

Chapecoense 8.31

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense:

🔮 Chapecoense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chapecoense, you can win up to $4155.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $95.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chapecoense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Chapecoense.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Chapecoense has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cruzeiro x Chapecoense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruzeiro x Chapecoense:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Chapecoense for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of May

Latest news on Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

Cruzeiro: Cruzeiro reached the fifth round of the Libertadores group stage with a 1-1 draw against Boca Juniors at the Bombonera, with a goal from Fagner in the second half and Gerson sent off after receiving a red card, while Keny Arroyo remained suspended. The team, coached by Artur Jorge, used a formation that included Otávio. Fagner, Fabrício Bruno, Jonathan Jesus, Kaiki, Lucas Romero, Lucas Silva, Christian, Matheus Pereira and Kaio Jorge were the starters, and the side still needs to win or rely on other results to secure a place in the round of 16. At the same time, young forward Jonathan Jesus has attracted interest from Real Betis after a run of ten consecutive starts, despite the club having rejected an offer of more than R$ 50 million from Russia in the winter. A study by UFMG projects nearly an 80% chance of Cruzeiro qualifying in the competition. Off the field, Kaio Jorge was the target of criticism from supporters after the draw, while midfielder Otávio said he felt calm during the match. The next fixture will be against Chapecoense at the Mineirão, at 4:00 PM (Brasília time).

Chapecoense: Chapecoense are going through a difficult spell in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, occupying the relegation zone after a 1-0 defeat to Remo, sitting four points behind 19th place. The club is preparing for the next meeting with Cruzeiro at the Mineirão on Sunday at 4:00 PM, counting on the return of forward Yannick Bolasie, who served a suspension, while midfielder Camilo is out due to a third yellow card. At the same time, the team competes in the Copa Sul-Sudeste semi-final against Novorizontino, with a probable line-up including Rafael Santos. Everton, Eduardo Doma, Bruno Leonardo, Vinícius and Walter Clar in defence; Camilo, Higor Meritão and Giovanni Augusto in midfield; and Ítalo and Neto Pessoa up front. Rafael Thyere, Victor Caetano, Robert and Kauan Faria are sidelined by injury, and other absences remain pending.

How the handicap and odds moved for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Cruzeiro and Chapecoense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1550876 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $227.70
• And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $628.80;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$211.20.

Is it worth betting on Chapecoense?

🔴 Chapecoense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $1096.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$246.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Chapecoense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Cruzeiro x Chapecoense