Cruzeiro x Criciuma Betting tips for November 9 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Criciuma, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 22:00

Cruzeiro 1.60

X 3.75

Criciuma 5.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cruzeiro x Criciuma:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 In the last 6 Cruzeiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Criciuma matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Criciuma conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruzeiro x Criciuma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruzeiro x Criciuma:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 9 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Criciuma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218775 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Criciuma

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $342.00;
• And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $770.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it worth betting on Criciuma?

🔴 Criciuma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Criciuma

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Criciuma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cruzeiro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Criciuma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Criciuma

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.