Cruzeiro x EC Bahia Betting tips for October 19 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 00:30

Cruzeiro 2.11

X 3.23

EC Bahia 3.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1055.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against EC Bahia, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Cruzeiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, EC Bahia conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Cruzeiro has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against EC Bahia playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for EC Bahia as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruzeiro x EC Bahia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x EC Bahia for the Brazil Serie A – 19 of October

When the best bet on Cruzeiro x EC Bahia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1202780 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.11. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $543.90
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$33.90.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $602.10;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$127.90.

Should you bet on EC Bahia?

🔴 EC Bahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x EC Bahia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x EC Bahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.