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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Cruzeiro x Flamengo Betting tips for November 7 in Brazil Serie A
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 00h00 Brazil Serie A
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
PREDICTION Cruzeiro wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Cruzeiro x Flamengo Betting tips for November 7 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Flamengo, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
00:00
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.10
X
3.30
Flamengo Flamengo
3.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cruzeiro x Flamengo:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Cruzeiro x Flamengo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Cruzeiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Flamengo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Flamengo.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Flamengo has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Flamengo won the last 4 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Cruzeiro x Flamengo for the Brazil Serie A – 7 of November

🏟️ Cruzeiro X Flamengo – Brazil Serie A
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 00:00
🔵 Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 62.61% | Fair line: 1.6
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.42% | Fair line: 5.74
🔴 Flamengo – Winning probability: 19.96% | Fair line: 5.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cruzeiro x Flamengo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Flamengo

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔵 Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $693.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$323.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $391.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$439.00.

Is betting on Flamengo worth it?

🔴 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Flamengo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Cruzeiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Cruzeiro.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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