Cruzeiro x Mirassol Betting tips for March 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Mirassol, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 21:30

Cruzeiro 1.57

X 3.75

Mirassol 6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cruzeiro x Mirassol:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $785.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Mirassol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mirassol conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Mirassol as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cruzeiro x Mirassol?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Mirassol for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Mirassol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cruzeiro x Mirassol

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

🔵 Cruzeiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $478.80;
• And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$318.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $302.50;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$587.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mirassol?

🔴 Mirassol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Mirassol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Mirassol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Cruzeiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Mirassol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.