Cruzeiro x Palmeiras Betting tips for December 5 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras, Thursday, 5/12/2024

📅 5/12/2024 00:30

Cruzeiro 3.42

X 3.33

Palmeiras 2.06

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1665.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $26.0. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro x Palmeiras, with Cruzeiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Cruzeiro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Palmeiras.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cruzeiro x Palmeiras?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cruzeiro x Palmeiras, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Palmeiras for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of December

When the best bet on Cruzeiro x Palmeiras is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $580.80;
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$179.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $955.30;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$365.30.

Is it worth betting on Palmeiras?

🔴 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $371.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$279.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Palmeiras

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Cruzeiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Cruzeiro.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.