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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Cuiaba x Sao Paulo Betting tips for October 5 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 05 October 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba Cuiaba
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Cuiaba x Sao Paulo Betting tips for October 5 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo, Saturday, 5/10/2024
📅 5/10/2024
19:00
Cuiaba Cuiaba
2.95
X
3.00
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 Sao Paulo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 Cuiaba did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 Cuiaba matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Sao Paulo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sao Paulo has not lost any of them.
👉 Cuiaba has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sao Paulo playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Cuiaba x Sao Paulo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cuiaba x Sao Paulo:

Analysis from Cuiaba x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of October

🏟️ Cuiaba X Sao Paulo – Brazil Serie A
📅 5 of October, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Cuiaba – Winning probability: 29.86% | Fair line: 3.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.66% | Fair line: 2.8
🔴 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 34.48% | Fair line: 2.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cuiaba x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo

Is betting on Cuiaba worth it?

🔵 Cuiaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$115.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sao Paulo?

🔴 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cuiaba x Sao Paulo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Cuiaba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cuiaba.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cuiaba x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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