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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
Cuiaba Cuiaba
PREDICTION Cuiaba wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
19:00
Cuiaba Cuiaba
3.00
X
3.10
Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama
2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama:

🔮 Cuiaba wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cuiaba, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Vasco da Gama matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Cuiaba conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Vasco da Gama conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Cuiaba as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 It is not a good time for Vasco da Gama as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December

🏟️ Cuiaba X Vasco da Gama – Brazil Serie A
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Cuiaba – Winning probability: 44.40% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.16% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 Vasco da Gama – Winning probability: 33.43% | Fair line: 2.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233707 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama

Should you bet on Cuiaba?

🔵 Cuiaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $880.00;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$320.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$318.00.

Should you bet on Vasco da Gama?

🔴 Vasco da Gama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $478.50
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$191.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cuiaba
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cuiaba and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cuiaba.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cuiaba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cuiaba x Vasco da Gama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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