EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 24/11/2024 19:00 |
 EC Bahia1.79 |
X 3.56 |
Athletico Paranaense  4.36 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense:
🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $895.00!
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The main points for the tip for EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-148.0. |
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Analysis from EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of November
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🏟️ EC Bahia X Athletico Paranaense – Brazil Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Bahia and Athletico Paranaense.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense
Should you bet on EC Bahia?
🔵 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $481.90;
- And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$91.90.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $742.40
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$32.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on Athletico Paranaense?
🔴 Athletico Paranaense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $369.60;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$520.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EC Bahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 EC Bahia.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Athletico Paranaense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
