EC Bahia x Internacional Betting tips for July 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Bahia x Internacional, Saturday, 27/7/2024

📅 27/7/2024 20:00

EC Bahia 1.97

X 3.31

Internacional 3.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for EC Bahia x Internacional:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for EC Bahia x Internacional

Important information for your tip for EC Bahia x Internacional: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Internacional in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 Internacional matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Internacional conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from EC Bahia x Internacional for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Bahia x Internacional right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1151548 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Bahia x Internacional

Is betting on EC Bahia worth it?

🔵 EC Bahia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $446.20;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$93.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $739.20;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$59.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Internacional?

🔴 Internacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $605.00
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Internacional

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Internacional

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 EC Bahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 EC Bahia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Internacional

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.