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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป EC Juventude x Criciuma Betting tips for July 27 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 27 July 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude EC Juventude
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Criciuma Criciuma
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Juventude x Criciuma Betting tips for July 27 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Criciuma, Saturday, 27/7/2024
๐Ÿ“… 27/7/2024
19:00
EC Juventude EC Juventude
2.10
X
3.25
Criciuma Criciuma
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for EC Juventude x Criciuma:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for EC Juventude x Criciuma:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Criciuma scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 EC Juventude matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between EC Juventude x Criciuma, with EC Juventude as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Criciuma matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Criciuma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Criciuma as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on EC Juventude x Criciuma?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Juventude x Criciuma:

Analysis from EC Juventude x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 27 of July

๐ŸŸ๏ธ EC Juventude X Criciuma – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 27 of July, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต EC Juventude – Winning probability: 38.55% | Fair line: 2.59
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.78% | Fair line: 2.65
๐Ÿ”ด Criciuma – Winning probability: 23.67% | Fair line: 4.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Juventude x Criciuma right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1151548 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Juventude x Criciuma

Is it worth betting on EC Juventude?

๐Ÿ”ต EC Juventude: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $429.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$181.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $855.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$235.00.

Is betting on Criciuma worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Criciuma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$160.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Criciuma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Juventude
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Criciuma

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EC Juventude, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 EC Juventude.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Criciuma

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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