EC Juventude x Palmeiras Betting tips for October 20 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Palmeiras, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 23:00

EC Juventude 4.66

X 3.65

Palmeiras 1.71

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Juventude x Palmeiras:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $855.00!

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Important information for your tip for EC Juventude x Palmeiras: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $455.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-95.0. 👉 Palmeiras did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Palmeiras matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Palmeiras has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from EC Juventude x Palmeiras for the Brazil Serie A – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Juventude and Palmeiras.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204968 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Juventude x Palmeiras

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Juventude?

🔵 EC Juventude: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.66. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $475.80;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$394.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $583.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$197.00.

Is betting on Palmeiras worth it?

🔴 Palmeiras: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – profiting $461.50;
• And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$111.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Palmeiras

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 EC Juventude and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 EC Juventude. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.