EC Juventude x Vitoria Betting tips for March 29 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Vitoria, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 21:30

EC Juventude 2.02

X 3.20

Vitoria 3.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Juventude x Vitoria:

🔮 EC Juventude wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Juventude, you can win up to $1010.00!

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The main points for the tip for EC Juventude x Vitoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $612.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Vitoria, EC Juventude scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between EC Juventude x Vitoria, with EC Juventude as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 EC Juventude is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 EC Juventude has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Vitoria playing at home.

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Analysis from EC Juventude x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie A – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Juventude x Vitoria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1291138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Vitoria

Is it worth betting on EC Juventude?

🔵 EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $479.40
• And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$50.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Vitoria?

🔴 Vitoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $761.60;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$41.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Vitoria

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Vitoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 EC Juventude and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 EC Juventude.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Vitoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.