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Home ยป Predictions ยป Brazil Serie A ยป Flamengo x Bragantino Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie A
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Brazil Serie A
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 8% 1 X 2
Bragantino Bragantino
ODD: @1.92 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Bragantino Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Bragantino, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
00:30
Flamengo Flamengo
1.92
X
3.50
Bragantino Bragantino
3.65

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Bragantino:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Flamengo wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $960.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Flamengo x Bragantino:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bragantino, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Flamengo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Bragantino.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Flamengo x Bragantino

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Flamengo x Bragantino?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x Bragantino, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Flamengo x Bragantino for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Flamengo X Bragantino – Brazil Serie A
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 00:30
๐Ÿ”ต Flamengo – Winning probability: 84.15% | Fair line: 1.19
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.50% | Fair line: 13.33
๐Ÿ”ด Bragantino – Winning probability: 8.35% | Fair line: 11.98
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Flamengo
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Flamengo x Bragantino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Flamengo x Bragantino

Is it worth betting on Flamengo?

๐Ÿ”ต Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $772.80;
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$612.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – profiting $175.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$755.00.

Is betting on Bragantino worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Bragantino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $212.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$708.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Bragantino

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Flamengo
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Bragantino

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Flamengo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Bragantino

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves