Flamengo x EC Juventude Betting tips for April 17 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Flamengo x EC Juventude, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025
00:30

Flamengo
1.29

X
5.24

EC Juventude

10.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x EC Juventude:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $645.00!

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The main points for the tip for Flamengo x EC Juventude:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-228.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against EC Juventude, Flamengo scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Flamengo x EC Juventude, with Flamengo as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Flamengo is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
👉 Flamengo has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against EC Juventude.
👉 It is not a good time for EC Juventude as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x EC Juventude?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Flamengo x EC Juventude, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Flamengo x EC Juventude for the Brazil Serie A – 17 of April

🏟️ Flamengo X EC Juventude – Brazil Serie A
📅 17 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 95.69% | Fair line: 1.05
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.74% | Fair line: 26.76
🔴 EC Juventude – Winning probability: 0.58% | Fair line: 173.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Flamengo x EC Juventude right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1305181 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x EC Juventude

Is it worth betting on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $278.40;
And would lose other 40 times – losing -$40.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$238.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $169.60;
And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$790.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Juventude?

🔴 EC Juventude: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 10.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $95.00
And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$895.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x EC Juventude

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x EC Juventude

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Flamengo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Flamengo.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x EC Juventude

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.