Flamengo x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for September 15 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama, Sunday, 15/9/2024

📅 15/9/2024 18:30

Flamengo 1.60

X 3.78

Vasco da Gama 5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vasco da Gama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vasco da Gama scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Vasco da Gama, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Flamengo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Flamengo has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Vasco da Gama.

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Analysis from Flamengo x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 15 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Flamengo and Vasco da Gama.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1180884 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 650 times – profiting $390.00;
• And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $667.20;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$92.80.

Should you bet on Vasco da Gama?

🔴 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$450.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Vasco da Gama

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Flamengo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Vasco da Gama.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Vasco da Gama

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.