Flamengo x Vitoria Betting tips for December 8 in Brazil Serie A
📅 8/12/2024 19:00 |
Flamengo 1.36 |
X 4.60 |
Vitoria 8.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Vitoria:
🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $680.00!
Important information for your tip for Flamengo x Vitoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $38.0. |
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Analysis from Flamengo x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie A – 8 of December
🏟️ Flamengo X Vitoria – Brazil Serie A |
When the best bet on Flamengo x Vitoria is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1233707 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Flamengo x Vitoria
Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?
🔵 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 880 times – profiting $316.80;
- And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$196.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$586.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Vitoria?
🔴 Vitoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $210.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$760.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Vitoria
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Vitoria
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Flamengo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Flamengo.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Vitoria
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.