Fluminense x Botafogo Betting tips for September 21 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Botafogo, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 18:30

Fluminense 2.61

X 3.15

Botafogo 2.62

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fluminense x Botafogo:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Fluminense x Botafogo

The main points for the tip for Fluminense x Botafogo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $215.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Fluminense conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Botafogo. 👉 Fluminense is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Even as a visitor, Botafogo won the last 3 head-to-head matches Fluminense´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Fluminense x Botafogo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fluminense x Botafogo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fluminense x Botafogo for the Brazil Serie A – 21 of September

When the best bet on Fluminense x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1185407 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fluminense x Botafogo

Is betting on Fluminense worth it?

🔵 Fluminense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $402.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$347.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $688.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$8.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Botafogo?

🔴 Botafogo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $696.60
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$126.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Botafogo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Fluminense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Fluminense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Botafogo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.