Fluminense x Criciuma Betting tips for November 26 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Criciuma, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 22:00

Fluminense 1.60

X 3.75

Criciuma 5.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fluminense x Criciuma:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $800.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fluminense x Criciuma: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Criciuma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Criciuma, Fluminense scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fluminense x Criciuma, with Fluminense as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Criciuma conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Fluminense is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession. 👉 Fluminense has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Criciuma.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fluminense x Criciuma?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fluminense x Criciuma for the Brazil Serie A – 26 of November

When the best bet on Fluminense x Criciuma is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228745 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fluminense x Criciuma

Is it a good idea to bet on Fluminense?

🔵 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 710 times – profiting $426.00;
• And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$136.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$250.00.

Is it worth betting on Criciuma?

🔴 Criciuma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Criciuma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Criciuma

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Fluminense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Fluminense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Criciuma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.