Fluminense x Cuiaba Betting tips for December 5 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Cuiaba, Thursday, 5/12/2024

📅 5/12/2024 23:00

Fluminense 1.42

X 4.10

Cuiaba 7.18

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fluminense x Cuiaba:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $710.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fluminense x Cuiaba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Cuiaba, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Cuiaba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fluminense x Cuiaba, with Fluminense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Fluminense is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Cuiaba has not lost any of them. 👉 Fluminense has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Cuiaba.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Fluminense x Cuiaba?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Fluminense x Cuiaba:

Analysis from Fluminense x Cuiaba for the Brazil Serie A – 5 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fluminense and Cuiaba.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232622 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fluminense x Cuiaba

Is betting on Fluminense worth it?

🔵 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $378.00;
• And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$278.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $248.00;
• And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$672.00.

Is betting on Cuiaba worth it?

🔴 Cuiaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.18. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $185.40
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$784.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Cuiaba

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Cuiaba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Fluminense.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Cuiaba

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.