Fluminense x Santos Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fluminense x Santos, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 22:30

Fluminense 2.05

X 3.15

Santos 3.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fluminense x Santos:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fluminense x Santos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $42.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Santos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fluminense x Santos, with Fluminense as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Fluminense matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Santos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Fluminense has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fluminense x Santos?

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Analysis from Fluminense x Santos for the Brazil Serie A – 13 of April

When the best bet on Fluminense x Santos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fluminense x Santos

Is betting on Fluminense worth it?

🔵 Fluminense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $577.50
• And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $494.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is it worth betting on Santos?

🔴 Santos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $598.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$181.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Santos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fluminense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Santos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fluminense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fluminense.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Santos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.