Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for October 17 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro, Thursday, 17/10/2024

📅 17/10/2024 00:45

Fortaleza 1.84

X 3.45

Atletico Mineiro 4.31

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $920.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Mineiro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Atletico Mineiro as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro:

Analysis from Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro for the Brazil Serie A – 17 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202780 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro

Is it worth betting on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – profiting $571.20;
• And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
• And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Mineiro?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.31. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $364.10;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$525.90.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Fortaleza.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.