Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Fortaleza x EC Bahia Betting tips for September 21 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 21 September 2024, 21h00 Brazil Serie A
Fortaleza Fortaleza
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 31% 1 X 2
EC Bahia EC Bahia
ODD: @3.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza x EC Bahia Betting tips for September 21 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x EC Bahia, Saturday, 21/9/2024
📅 21/9/2024
21:00
Fortaleza Fortaleza
2.01
X
3.40
EC Bahia EC Bahia
3.49

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fortaleza x EC Bahia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Fortaleza x EC Bahia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $243.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 Fortaleza has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against EC Bahia playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fortaleza x EC Bahia?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Fortaleza x EC Bahia for the Brazil Serie A – 21 of September

🏟️ Fortaleza X EC Bahia – Brazil Serie A
📅 21 of September, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Fortaleza – Winning probability: 40.64% | Fair line: 2.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.95% | Fair line: 3.13
🔴 EC Bahia – Winning probability: 27.41% | Fair line: 3.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza x EC Bahia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza x EC Bahia

Should you bet on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $414.10;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $768.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is betting on EC Bahia worth it?

🔴 EC Bahia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $672.30;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$57.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x EC Bahia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x EC Bahia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Fortaleza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fortaleza.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x EC Bahia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters